What Is Geopolitical Risk?

Geopolitical risk refers to the potential impact of political, economic, and social events in one or more countries on operations, investments, or markets. Key drivers include:

• Political instability, regime change, or civil unrest

• Regional conflicts, terrorism, or security threats

• Sanctions, trade restrictions, and regulatory changes

• Shifts in policy, governance, or international relations

• Global economic pressures and commodity dependencies

These risks are interconnected and can trigger cascading effects across supply chains, markets, and investment portfolios.

Why Geopolitical Risk Matters

For organisations, geopolitical risk can result in:

• Operational disruption or supply chain interruption

• Regulatory non-compliance or financial penalties

• Increased cost of doing business in volatile regions

• Reputational damage and loss of stakeholder confidence

For investors, geopolitical risk affects:

• Portfolio performance and asset valuation

• Exposure to sanctions, political volatility, or market shocks

• Long-term investment strategy and risk allocation

For governments, geopolitical risk informs:

• National security and defence planning

• Policy formulation and international relations strategy

• Economic stability and strategic resource allocation

Our Geopolitical Risk Services

We provide actionable intelligence and advisory services to help clients navigate geopolitical risk:

Country & Regional Risk Analysis

Assess political, economic, and social stability across countries and regions to identify opportunities and vulnerabilities.

Scenario Planning & Forecasting

Model potential geopolitical events and their likely impact on markets, operations, and investments.

Sanctions & Regulatory Advisory

Monitor sanctions, trade restrictions, and regulatory changes to ensure compliance and manage exposure.

Operational & Supply Chain Resilience

Identify vulnerabilities in logistics, infrastructure, and critical operations exposed to geopolitical disruption.

Monitoring & Early-Warning Systems

Track political developments, social unrest, and emerging threats to support proactive decision-making.

Who We Support

• Multinational corporations and industrial enterprises

• Financial institutions and investors

• Governments, ministries, and regulatory agencies

• Public sector organisations and state-owned enterprises

• Development organisations and multilateral institutions

Why Our Approach Works

We combine:

• Independent, expert geopolitical analysis

• Data-driven insight across sectors and regions

• Forward-looking scenario modelling

• Actionable recommendations for strategic and operational decisions

This approach helps clients anticipate risk, safeguard assets, and maintain operational and strategic resilience.

Navigate Geopolitical Risk With Confidence

Effective management of geopolitical risk enables organisations and governments to act decisively, protect value, and capitalize on opportunities in a volatile global environment.